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2024-12-13 05:03:32

Last Friday, the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index both broke through the key pressure level, and the market closed above the 3400-point integer mark and the 5-day line, getting rid of the previous box channel; Growth enterprise market refers to the key 20-day pressure level, but from the structural point of view, it is in the form of a box.After today's session, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, which has attracted much attention from the market, finally got big news! Judging from what Jun Ge has learned so far, the top management gave two reassurances at the meeting:Seeing the momentum of last Friday, many friends will think that the performance of the A-share market will not be too bad this Monday. However, what everyone didn't expect was that today's market not only didn't continue to be strong, but even a round of rapid diving appeared in the afternoon, which surprised everyone into a cold sweat. The growth enterprise market refers to a worse situation. Last Friday, it finally broke through the pressure level of the 20-day line, and today it fell back. This situation of breaking through the key pressure level and falling back quickly is usually called a false breakthrough, which is a main form of main force attracting more; On the contrary, it is the usual skill of the main force to wash the dishes in a broken position, fall through the key support level and then collect them quickly.


According to the latest inflation data released by the Bureau of Statistics, in November this year, China's consumer price index rose by 0.2% year-on-year, down by 0.1% compared with October. It has been slowly weakening for four consecutive months, and it is still near the zero axis. At the same time, the PPI decreased by 2.5% in November, which was slightly higher than that in October, but it still performed poorly.To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.Let's take a look at the news first. Yesterday morning, "Three major events affecting A shares over the weekend: official media released positive signals!" The CSRC will make major adjustments! In the article, Jun Ge made a detailed analysis of several major events on the weekend news. This past weekend, although there were many news events at home and abroad, it was only a mixed situation in the end, which would not have much impact on the market trend this Monday. Therefore, today's A-share market and GEM index are both flat, not significantly higher or lower.


Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!It is worth noting that this meeting not only released the above two reassurances, but also focused on stabilizing the property market and the stock market. The operating environment of the A-share market next year will probably not be bad.To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.

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